Monday, 6 Jan 2025

7% Growth Offsets RBI Autonomy Concerns: S&P Global On India’s Rating

RBI

“When you are growing at 7%, that environment is quite forgiving, because it allows for a lot of these unorthodox things to happen,” said S&P.

LONDON: India’s rapid economic growth will be enough to offset worries about the independence of its central bank and keep its credit rating in the coveted investment grade bracket, S&P Global said on Wednesday. The country’s BBB- rating puts it on the bottom rung of the investment grade ladder, and sentiment towards it was hit on Monday when central bank governor Urjit Patel resigned following a months-long tussle over policy with the government. “We always like to see a central bank that is independent because if you don’t, it can have very negative consequences on your capacity to contain inflation and foster growth,” S&P’s lead global sovereign analyst Roberto Sifon-Arevalo told Reuters.
“But when you are growing at 7 per cent, that environment is quite forgiving, because it allows for a lot of these unorthodox things to happen without having a tremendous amount of damage.”

There are other pressures mounting too though.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s support has taken a hit ahead of national elections next year, volatile crude prices are tough for a country that imports over 90 percent of its oil, and there is general pressure on emerging markets amid a rumbling global trade war.

“At the moment that (the high growth) is enough (to keep the rating stable),” Sifon-Arevalo added. “If the economy was growing at 2 per cent it would be a lot more complicated.”

 

Courtesy by : NDTV

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